Part 1: Statistical Analysis of All Dates Given in MT from Terah to Joshua

Part 2: Statistical Analysis of Key Events in the Jacob-Levi Era in MT, LXX, SP, and Cumulative

For the full list of dates, see:
490d.com/mt-lxx-sp-sp215-regular-short-chronology-table/

490d.com/mt-lxx-sp-lifespan-accumulative-long-chronology-table/

Also, see:

Probability Analysis of Target Multiple 46 for Births of Adam to Moses with its Subtle Variations: MT Regular Chronology (“430 years in Egypt”).

Accumulative Age Probability Analysis in Biblical Chronologies, highlighting 460 years.


As expected, multiples of seven occur far more than randomness would when analyzing the period of Jacob and sons across all three major textual traditions of the MT, LXX and SP, including the Accumulative-Lifespan chronology.

Unexpectedly by this researcher, when this analysis was continued across all events from Terah to the Exodus and Conquest, the pattern collapsed, and multiples of seven were no longer statistically significant. As expected, though, multiples of 5, 10, and 40 became pronounced, but the most noteworthy was multiples of 160 (4 x40). This is significant because of the promise God made to Abraham:

In the fourth generation your descendants will come back here, for the sin of the Amorites has not yet reached its full measure.

Genesis 15:16

Part 1: Statistical Analysis of All Dates Given in MT from Terah to Joshua

Below is the full chart of dates extracted for analysis. The Python script allows one to subtract or add a date to tweak by the user, but these are the dates I have long settled upon without thought of statistical analysis.

Terah2236 – 2031205
Patriarchal Period
Abraham2166 – 1991175Call of Abram (2091 BC),
Covenant of Pieces (2081 BC),
Covenant of Circumcision &
Destruction of Sodom (2067 BC)
Sarah2156 – 2029127
Ishmael2080 – 1943137
Isaac2066 – 1886180Wedding of Isaac (2026 BC)
Jacob2006 – 1859147Jacob flees Esau (1929 BC)
Jacob works for wives (1929-1922-1915 BC)
Jacob returns to Canaan (1909 BC)
Esau2006 – ?Esau marries (1966 BC)
Levi1919 – 1782137
Judah1918 – 1789129Death year per tradition
Joseph1915 – 1805110Joseph sold as slave (1898 BC).
Joseph’s release delayed two years (1887-1885)
7 years plenty (1885-1878 BC)
7 years famine (1878-1871 BC)
Benjamin1906 – ?Birth of Benjamin (likely 1906 BC)
Egypt to Exodus
Israelites in Egypt1876 – 1446430
Kohath133
Amram137
Aaron1529 – 1406123Birth (summer of 1530 exact)
Death (summer of 1407)
Moses1526 – 1406120Birth (winter of 1526 exact)
Flees to Midian (1486 BC)
Exodus (1446 BC)
Tabernacle (1445 BC)
Death (winter of 1406)
Conquest (1406-1400 BC)
First Sabbath year of rest (1399 BC)
Conquest and Judges
Joshua, “And also וְגַם
all that GENERATION died” (Judges 2:9-10)
1476 – 1366110“Generation” of 40-yrs implied (1406-1366)
The following graph presents a visual representation of our comprehensive analysis. This chart synthesizes the data from our extensive examination, offering a clear and intuitive display of the results. By presenting the information in this graphical format, we aim to facilitate a deeper understanding of the patterns and relationships uncovered in our study. The visual representation allows for quick identification of significant trends and outliers, providing a foundation for further discussion and interpretation of our findings.
The bar graph illustrates the statistical significance of various multiples in the chronological data, with lower P-values indicating higher significance. The dotted line represents an unlikeliness of 1 in 10,000 (.0001 P-value threshold). Multiples below this line are considered highly significant, suggesting patterns that are unlikely to occur by chance. The graph allows for easy comparison of different multiples’ significance, with the height of each bar inversely proportional to its P-value.

Notably, multiples of 160 (which is 4 x 40) emerge as the most significant observation. This finding is particularly intriguing because multiples of smaller numbers are generally expected due to the inherent schematic nature of the chronological list.

The analysis encompasses a wide range of multiples, including 1, 5, 7, 8, 10, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 23, 25, 35, 40, 46, 49, 50, 60, 69, 70, 77, 80, 100, 120, 160, 161, 200, 280, 360, and 400. The prominence of the 160-year multiple suggests a potentially meaningful pattern in the chronology that goes beyond the more commonly expected smaller multiples.

The graph above depicts the statistical significance of various multiples in the chronological data. For a more detailed perspective, the table below focuses on just the series of multiples of 10, 20, 30, and so on. While we anticipate elevated significance across this series due to the nature of the data, the multiple of 160 stands out remarkably with seven instances. This prominence is particularly noteworthy when compared to other meaningful numbers in the biblical narrative.

For instance, both Joseph and Joshua are recorded as living for 110 years, yet the P-value for this multiple barely reaches the threshold of statistical significance. This contrast highlights the exceptional nature of the 160-year pattern within the chronology.

MT Specific Multiples Full Analysis – Extended List

MultipleConnectionsExpected ConnectionsP-value
105321.0000002.030453e-10
202710.5000007.564674e-06
30207.0000002.958250e-05
40195.2500001.790790e-06
5094.2000002.656265e-02
60113.5000008.992800e-04
7063.0000008.246501e-02
8082.6250005.302023e-03
9062.3333333.097341e-02
10052.1000006.117810e-02
11051.9090914.404071e-02
12061.7500008.812955e-03
13021.6153854.807875e-01
14021.5000004.427742e-01
15031.4000001.660153e-01
16071.3125003.994654e-04
17031.2352941.277533e-01
18031.1666671.128725e-01
19021.1052633.029984e-01
20021.0500002.826730e-01
21011.0000006.329982e-01
22010.9545456.158497e-01
23020.9130432.322236e-01
24020.8750002.182878e-01
25020.8400002.055357e-01

Further Explanation of the Above Multiple Search Analysis:

This analysis uses a Python script to search for multiples of specific numbers within a set of historical dates. The dates range from the time of Terah to Joshua, covering key events in biblical chronology.

Key Points:

1. Definition of Multiples:

  • For example, multiples of 7 include 7, 14, 21, 28, 35, etc.
  • Multiples of 120 would be 120, 240, 360, 480, 600, 720, 840, etc.
  • The search is limited to the span of dates in the dataset.

2. Focus on the Comprehensive Dataset:

  • The final results use the most comprehensive list of dates.
  • This list includes all possible dates from Terah to Joshua without omitting minor details.
  • It avoids unintentional bias by including all available dates.

3. Selective Inclusion of Births:

  • The births of Levi (1919 BC), Judah (1918 BC), and Joseph (1915 BC) are included.
  • Other births between 1921 BC and 1915 BC are omitted to avoid repetition.

4. Script and Data Source:

  • The Python script was created by ChatGPT 4.
  • Claude 3 Sonnet extracted the comprehensive list of dates from the provided chronological table.
  • The analysis was run on Google Colab.

5. Purpose of the Analysis:

  • To identify patterns in the chronology based on multiples of selected numbers.
  • The script can be easily adjusted to search for different multiples or date ranges.

6. Interpretation:

  • The results from the comprehensive list (the third list in the script) are considered the most significant.
  • These results provide insights into potential patterns or alignments in the biblical chronology.

This analysis aims to uncover any statistical significance in the occurrence of certain multiples within the given chronology, potentially revealing underlying patterns in the historical timeline.

As seen in the graph below, multiples of ten occur least randomly.

Python Script:

Import necessary libraries

from scipy.stats import binomtest # Changed from binom_test to binomtest
import pandas as pd

Define the three lists of MT Dates

mt_dates_list1 = [
1406, 1526, 1529, 1792, 1859, 1886, 1919, 1991, 2006, 2029, 2031, 2066, 2156, 2166, 2236
]

mt_dates_list2 = [
1366, 1406, 1476, 1526, 1529, 1792, 1805, 1859, 1886, 1915, 1919, 1943, 1991, 2006, 2029, 2091, 2066, 2080, 2156, 2166, 2296
]

mt_dates = [
2236, 2166, 2156, 2091, 2081, 2080, 2067, 2066, 2031, 2029,
2026, 2006, 1991, 1966, 1929, 1922, 1919, 1918, 1915, 1909,
1906, 1898, 1887, 1886, 1885, 1878, 1876, 1871, 1859, 1805, 1789,
1782, 1530, 1529, 1526, 1486, 1476, 1446, 1445, 1406, 1400,
1399, 1366
]

Define the specific multiples to check

specific_multiples_full = [1, 5, 7, 8, 10, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 23, 25, 35, 40, 46, 49, 50, 60, 69, 70, 77, 80, 100, 120, 160, 161, 200, 280, 360, 400]

Function to check if the difference between two dates is a multiple of a given number

def is_multiple_of(date1, date2, multiple):
return abs(date1 – date2) % multiple == 0

Function to calculate p-values

def calculate_p_values(dates, multiples):
results = {}
n = len(dates)
total_possible_connections = n * (n – 1) // 2
for multiple in multiples:
connections = sum(1 for i in range(n) for j in range(i + 1, n) if is_multiple_of(dates[i], dates[j], multiple))
expected_connections = total_possible_connections * (1 / multiple)
# Use binomtest instead of binom_test
p_value = binomtest(connections, total_possible_connections, 1 / multiple, alternative=’greater’).pvalue
results[multiple] = (connections, expected_connections, p_value)
return results

Calculate p-values for all three lists

mt_p_values_list1 = calculate_p_values(mt_dates_list1, specific_multiples_full)
mt_p_values_list2 = calculate_p_values(mt_dates_list2, specific_multiples_full)
mt_p_values_extended = calculate_p_values(mt_dates_extended, specific_multiples_full)

Convert results to DataFrames for better visualization

mt_p_values_list1_df = pd.DataFrame.from_dict(mt_p_values_list1, orient=’index’, columns=[‘Connections’, ‘Expected Connections’, ‘P-value’])
mt_p_values_list2_df = pd.DataFrame.from_dict(mt_p_values_list2, orient=’index’, columns=[‘Connections’, ‘Expected Connections’, ‘P-value’])
mt_p_values_extended_df = pd.DataFrame.from_dict(mt_p_values_extended, orient=’index’, columns=[‘Connections’, ‘Expected Connections’, ‘P-value’])

Display the DataFrames

print(“MT Specific Multiples Full Analysis – List 1”)
print(mt_p_values_list1_df)
print(“\nMT Specific Multiples Full Analysis – List 2”)
print(mt_p_values_list2_df)
print(“\nMT Specific Multiples Full Analysis – Extended List”)
print(mt_p_values_extended_df)


MT Specific Multiples Full Analysis – Extended List

This table provides an organized presentation of the connections, expected connections, and P-values for each multiple in the MT Specific Multiples

MultipleConnectionsExpected ConnectionsP-value
12102101.000000e+00
57542.0000008.796663e-08
73530.0000001.859718e-01
82726.2500004.688152e-01
105321.0000002.030453e-10
152914.0000001.675134e-04
161213.1250006.662573e-01
171012.3529417.951632e-01
181011.6666677.344979e-01
191611.0526328.964385e-02
202710.5000007.564674e-06
2399.1304355.646754e-01
25168.4000001.089575e-02
35116.0000004.024712e-02
40195.2500001.790790e-06
4654.5652174.813978e-01
4954.2857144.273657e-01
5094.2000002.656265e-02
6963.0434788.688058e-02
7063.0000008.246501e-02
7712.7272739.357605e-01
8082.6250005.302023e-03
10052.1000006.117810e-02
12061.7500008.812955e-03
16071.3125003.994654e-04
16111.3043487.297521e-01
20021.0500002.826730e-01
28010.7500005.282672e-01
36010.5833334.424176e-01
40010.5250004.088334e-01

Part 2: Statistical Analysis of Key Events in the Jacob-Levi Era in MT, LXX, SP, and Cumulative

Investigating Multiples of Seven and Ten: From Jacob to the Exodus/Conquest (1446 & 1406 BC)

A Comprehensive Examination of MT, LXX, SP, and Cumulative Chronologies

Explanation of the Multiple Search Analysis:

To maintain statistical integrity and avoid artificially inflating the P-value for multiples of seven, we apply the following criteria in our event selection:

  1. We exclude the seven years of Plenty and the seven years of Famine.
  2. For Jacob’s wedding, we only include the first seven years and omit the second seven years for Leah.
  3. We include Joseph’s birth but not the completion of Jacob’s 14 years of service.
  4. Esau’s wedding date is consistently included.
  5. Jacob and Esau’s birth is recorded as a single event, not two separate ones.

These guidelines ensure that our analysis does not overrepresent events that are inherently multiples of seven, allowing for a more accurate assessment of the chronological patterns.

For the full list of dates, see:
490d.com/mt-lxx-sp-sp215-regular-short-chronology-table/

490d.com/mt-lxx-sp-lifespan-accumulative-long-chronology-table/

P-values for MT, LXX, and SP


MT Dates:
Description MT Date
Birth of Jacob / Birth of Esau 2006 BC
Death of Abraham 1991 BC
Esau marries 1966 BC
Death of Shem=End of era 1956 BC
Start of Jacob working for wives / Jacob flees Esau 1929 BC
End of Jacob working for wives 1922 BC
Birth of Levi 1919 BC
Birth of Joseph 1915 BC
Jacob returns to Canaan 1909 BC
Joseph sold as slave 1898 BC
Death of Isaac 1886 BC
Marriage of Joseph and start of 7-yr plenty 1885 BC
Start of 7-yr famine 1878 BC
Start of Israelites in Egypt 1876 BC
End of 7 years famine 1871 BC
Death of Jacob 1859 BC
Death of Joseph 1805 BC
Death of Levi 1782 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt 1446 BC
Conquest 1406 BC

MT Dates:

DescriptionMT Date
Birth of Jacob / Birth of Esau2006 BC
Esau marries1966 BC
Start of Jacob working for wives / Jacob flees Esau1929 BC
End of Jacob working for wives1922 BC
Birth of Levi1919 BC
Birth of Joseph1915 BC
Jacob returns to Canaan1909 BC
Start of Israelites in Egypt1876 BC
End of 7 years famine1871 BC
Death of Jacob1859 BC
Death of Joseph1805 BC
Death of Levi1782 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC
Click here for an interactive Graph on Claude

P-values for MT

MultipleMT P-value
20.799094
30.733087
40.420358
50.358075
60.910063
70.000002
80.243417
90.947195
100.000579
110.592629
120.779457
130.161235
140.012603
400.007948
700.010040
770.115441
1000.231009

LXX Dates:

DescriptionLXX Date
Birth of Jacob / Birth of Esau1973 BC
Esau marries1933 BC
Start of Jacob working for wives / Jacob flees Esau1896 BC
End of Jacob working for wives1889 BC
Birth of Levi1886 BC
Birth of Joseph1882 BC
Jacob returns to Canaan1876 BC
Start of Israelites in Egypt1843 BC
End of 7 years famine1838 BC
Death of Jacob1826 BC
Death of Joseph1772 BC
Death of Levi1749 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC
Click here for an interactive graph on Claude

P-values for LXX

MultipleLXX P-value
20.500000
30.733087
40.420358
50.191645
60.849678
70.000016
80.714864
90.890907
100.000072
110.592629
120.884598
130.265516
140.012603
400.078340
700.010040
770.115441
1000.599315

SP Dates:

DescriptionSP Date
Birth of Jacob / Birth of Esau1791 BC
Esau marries1751 BC
Start of Jacob working for wives / Jacob flees Esau1714 BC
End of Jacob working for wives1707 BC
Birth of Levi1704 BC
Birth of Joseph1700 BC
Jacob returns to Canaan1694 BC
Start of Israelites in Egypt1661 BC
End of 7 years famine1656 BC
Death of Jacob1644 BC
Death of Joseph1590 BC
Death of Levi1567 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC
Click here for an interactive graph on Claude

P-values for SP

MultipleSP P-value
20.500000
30.480289
40.611714
50.358075
60.671310
70.000016
80.468305
90.693330
100.068291
110.203135
120.884598
130.265516
140.012603
400.398240
700.141718
770.006830
1000.599315

Cumulative Lifespan Chronology Analysis

For the full list of dates, see:
490d.com/mt-lxx-sp-sp215-regular-short-chronology-table/

490d.com/mt-lxx-sp-lifespan-accumulative-long-chronology-table/

Lists of Dates and P-values for Cumulative Sets

Cumulative Set 1 Dates:

DescriptionDate
Jacob lived 147 years2083 BC
Levi lived 137 years1936 BC
Kohath lived 133 years1799 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC

P-values for Cumulative Set 1

MultipleP-value
70.161605
100.070191
700.134015

Cumulative Set 2 Dates:

DescriptionDate
Jacob lived 147 years2080 BC
Levi lived 137 years1933 BC
Kohath lived 133 years1796 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC

P-values for Cumulative Set 2

MultipleP-value
70.429178
100.070191
700.134015

Cumulative Set 3 Dates:

DescriptionDate
Jacob lived 147 years2085 BC
Levi lived 137 years1938 BC
Kohath lived 133 years1781 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC

P-values for Cumulative Set 3

MultipleP-value
70.161605
100.651322
701.000000

Cumulative Set 4 Dates:

DescriptionDate
Jacob lived 147 years2078 BC
Levi lived 137 years1931 BC
Kohath lived 133 years1794 BC
End of Israelites in Egypt1446 BC
Conquest1406 BC

P-values for Cumulative Set 4

MultipleP-value
70.161605
100.651322
701.000000

Also, see:

Probability Analysis of Target Multiple 46 for Births of Adam to Moses with its Subtle Variations: MT Regular Chronology (“430 years in Egypt”).

Accumulative Age Probability Analysis in Biblical Chronologies, highlighting 460 years.